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A word about NFL parity

March 5, 2014

It’s the offseason, so it’s time to remind ourselves why we love the NFL:  parity.

In 2012, Kansas City won 2 games & had the #1 overall pick.  In 2013, the Chiefs won 11 games & made the playoffs.  There is a story like this every year, and yet a big chunk of the fans & media seem to forget how fleeting NFL success can be.

So with that in mind, I’m going to divide the NFL into 4 groups:

  1. Teams with an elite quarterback
    When I say “elite,” I mean “elite.”  I’m talking about Brady, Brees, Manning, and Rodgers – guys who can win games pretty much on their own.  If your team is in this group, consider yourself lucky because barring injuries or other weirdness, your team will pretty much be in the playoff hunt every single year.
  2. Teams with abnormally good talent across the board, but no elite QB
    These are teams like the 49ers & Seahawks who are loaded at multiple position groups but don’t have a truly elite QB.  This is a small group whose overall talent sets their “floor” at around 8-8.
  3. Every other average-to-above average team in the league
    Here’s your parity. This is the majority of the league, and typically about half of playoff teams fall in this category. The variance is high for this group – they could go 5-11 or 11-5 depending on a bunch of factors:  coaching, injuries, luck, etc.
  4. The basement (rebuilding teams)
    This is a small group of teams that have fallen on hard times, such as Jacksonville.  There aren’t many “pieces” in place and they need at least an offseason or 2 to right the ship.

 

Make no mistake – many NFL fans are nodding that their team is in group 1 or 2, but the majority are in group 3.  That’s what makes the league so great — you just never know who will step up & claim the few playoff slots that change each year.

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From → NFL, Sports

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